990 FXUS64 KBMX 060428 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1128 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...New DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1126 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026 - Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast starting Saturday, persisting through next week. - High temperatures will climb back into the upper 80s to near 90 each day through Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... (Saturday through next Friday) Issued at 1126 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026 Upper-level ridging will continue to break down overnight, allowing for the region to come under the influence of a closed low slowly working into the central Plains. Rain chances will begin to increase in our far SW zones on Saturday, before expanding in coverage on Sunday as a shortwave works through the region. This closed low will allow for a series of shortwaves to work through the region through Monday, before a somewhat deeper trough overtakes the region on Tuesday. The forecast starts to become a bit more uncertain here, as guidance paints roughly two scenarios. The first is the trough taking an odd elongated shape, allowing for a bit more rainfall coverage from Wednesday onward. The other scenario is this trough gets shifted farther east, with a ridge starting to build in to our west. While showers and thunderstorms would stay in the forecast with this scenario, they would likely be limited to scattered, diurnally driven activity in the afternoon. Regardless, rain looks to stay in the forecast in some capacity, with afternoon highs climbing to above 90 degrees during the middle of next week as well. /44/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 608 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026 VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours at all terminals, as weakening high pressure begins to lose control over the region. High clouds will build in overnight, with mid-level cloud cover expected by late morning tomorrow into the afternoon. South to southeast winds at 5-10 kts are expected again tomorrow afternoon. 12 && .FIRE WEATHER... High pressure will begin to break down overnight, allowing for showers and thunderstorms to return to the forecast. Because of that, MinRH values will climb to above 50% come Sunday, and linger here or higher for most of the upcoming week. Given daily rain chances and high MinRH values, fire weather concerns remain little to none at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 61 88 68 82 / 0 0 20 70 Anniston 62 88 69 82 / 0 0 10 60 Birmingham 65 88 71 83 / 0 0 30 80 Tuscaloosa 66 89 72 84 / 0 10 40 90 Calera 63 90 70 85 / 0 0 20 80 Auburn 64 88 70 85 / 0 0 0 30 Montgomery 64 90 71 86 / 0 10 10 60 Troy 62 90 70 87 / 0 10 10 30 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION.../44/ AVIATION...12