623 

FXUS62 KCAE 050058

AFDCAE



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Columbia SC

858 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026



.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

Aviation discussion updated.



&&



.KEY MESSAGES...

- 1. Warming trend begins today, continuing into this weekend with 

dry conditions. Diurnal rain chances may return early next week.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Key Message 1: Warming trend begins today, continuing into this 

weekend with dry conditions. Diurnal rain chances may return early 

next week.



A strong upper ridge near the NAEFS 90th percentile is shifting 

overhead starting today. Surface high pressure will also consolidate 

over the east coast and remain quasistationary into this weekend. 

These features will bring a slight warming trend back to normal 

early June temperatures into this weekend, with highs Friday and 

Saturday in the upper 80s to low 90s. Uncharacteristically for this 

time of year , models generally keep deep moisture out the area with 

PWAT's only about 50-60% of normal, limiting the threat for any 

diurnal convection and keeping our sensible weather rather pleasant. 

This changes a bit Sunday into early next week as high pressure 

slides offshore and brings a more southerly flow into the region. 

This will bump up dewpoints back into the 60s as moisture levels 

return closer to seasonal norms. Early next week, weakness in the 

upper ridge and a few shortwaves passing near the area may lead to 

better chance for some diurnally driven convection, particularly 

given better moisture availability.



&&



.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

VFR conditions likely through the 24 hour TAF period.



Dry conditions will hinder fog development tonight. Crossover 

temperatures in the upper 40s indicate a low potential for fog 

with forecast lows only in the upper 50s to low 60s. Winds will 

pick back up out of the S or SW late Friday morning and remain 

relatively light, from 5 to 10 kts. Skies will be clear through

much of the forecast period, with only some cirrus moving 

overhead late Friday.



EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Drier air continues to hang on 

through the weekend with mainly VFR conditions expected.



&&



.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

SC...None.

GA...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...EC

AVIATION...CJR