813 

FXUS62 KCHS 060624

AFDCHS



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Charleston SC

224 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026



.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

All sections have been updated.



&&



.KEY MESSAGES...

- 1) Dry conditions will persist through the weekend with rain 

  chances increasing early next week.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry conditions will persist through the weekend 

with rain chances increasing early next week. 



Aloft, mid-upper ridging will remain centered across the Southeast 

United States this weekend, supporting ample subsidence along the 

western periphery of a sfc high centered across the western 

Atlantic. The pattern will likely result in dry conditions across 

all areas through the weekend with temperatures typical of early 

summer (upper 80s/lower 90s Saturday, although some spots could 

approach the mid 90s along the I-95 corridor Sunday). Overnight lows 

will gradually warm each night, with upper 60s/lower 70s inland

to mid 70s at the beaches and Downtown Charleston into early next

week.



Rain chances will begin to increase early next week as mid-upper 

lvl ridging starts to weaken and moisture deepens within a 

southerly flow along the western periphery of the sfc high

across the Atlantic. Greatest chances for rainfall should occur

heading into mid-week with the approach of a front from the 

north, but guidance continues to suggest this feature to 

weaken/dissipate prior to reaching the South Santee River. The 

setup would more likely feature diurnally driven shower and 

thunderstorm activity, possibly along a seabreeze each afternoon

Tuesday through late week.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

VFR conditions will prevail at CHS/JZI/SAV terminals through 06Z 

Sunday.



Extended Aviation Outlook: VFR conditions expected at all terminals 

through early next week. Brief flight restrictions possible with 

afternoon showers/thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday.



&&



.MARINE...

Today and Tonight: South/southeast winds will prevail along the

western periphery of an Atlantic high, topping out around 15 kt

(highest along the land/sea interface where a sea breeze develops

and shifts inland). Seas will range between 1-3 ft, largest 

tonight.



Sunday through Wednesday: Conditions will remain below Small Craft 

Advisory criteria through the period. High pressure will dominate 

over the marine waters through the weekend, with a weak cold front 

approaching on Tuesday. Winds will generally be out of the S, with a 

typical summertime pattern of a surge in gusts along the coast with 

the afternoon sea breeze.



&&



.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

GA...None.

SC...None.

MARINE...None.



&&



$$



CPM/DPB