727 FXUS64 KCRP 052159 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 459 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 457 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 The main update was that WPC has placed portions of the Victoria Crossroads/Brush Country under a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for flash flooding. Storms that would be capable are already moving through portions of the area. Additionally, tropical funnels continue to be reported as showers/storms develop. We will continue to monitor these for any additional warnings. && .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 457 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 - Shower/Storm chances through Saturday leading to quick, heavy downpours - Temperatures trend warmer and Moderate HeatRisk becomes more widespread through the upcoming week - High Rip Current Risk Saturday/monitoring Coastal Flooding potential && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 111 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 A cutoff low over northern Mexico will continue to move east, shifting the focus of precipitation east with it. Showers and thunderstorms are continuing to develop this afternoon over the Brush Country, then move to the north/northeast. Meanwhile, along the coastal counties, moisture convergence is leading to convection. Low to medium (15-40%) rain chances will continue through tonight and early Saturday. PWAT values are still above 2 inches, which means that any showers and storms could produce up to 2 inches of rainfall, with locally higher amounts to 3 inches. WPC has maintained a Marginal Risk (1 of 4) of excessive rainfall for portions of South Texas today. Rain chances finally begin to diminish Saturday afternoon as the cutoff low fills in and moves toward the Texas Panhandle, dropping from a 20-50% chance to a less than 15% chance, though seabreeze convection will still be possible. High pressure will then settle in for the upcoming week. Temperatures will increase into the 90s, with a moderate heat risk expected each day. Remember to keep practicing heat safety when outdoors, hydrate, and take frequent breaks. Many folks will want to head to the beach this weekend but there are some particular hazards for the beaches. Long period swell and persistent southeasterly winds will lead to a high risk of dangerous rip currents. These conditions could also lead to minor coastal flooding during times of high tides. Beachgoers should use caution when entering the waters and pay attention to the tidal levels. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 111 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 Generally VFR conditions prevail at local terminals this afternoon, with the noted exception of LRD where MVFR conditions persist. Off and on showers and thunderstorms are expected through Saturday morning before they diminish. && .MARINE... Issued at 111 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 Expect gentle to moderate southeasterly winds with 3-4 ft seas. These increase to moderate to fresh southeast winds and 4-5 ft on Sunday. Expect low-end (20-40% chance) daily showers/thunderstorms through the weekend with lower chances for the upcoming week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 77 88 79 88 / 30 20 10 20 Victoria 74 86 75 88 / 40 50 20 30 Laredo 75 94 77 95 / 10 0 10 0 Alice 75 89 76 90 / 40 20 0 10 Rockport 79 89 81 90 / 40 30 20 20 Cotulla 73 93 76 94 / 30 0 10 0 Kingsville 75 88 77 88 / 30 20 10 10 Navy Corpus 80 87 81 88 / 30 20 20 20 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through Saturday evening for TXZ345-442-443-447. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77 AVIATION...LS/77