834 FXUS65 KFGZ 052013 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 113 PM MST Fri Jun 5 2026 .SYNOPSIS...Warm temperatures and dry conditions will continue through much of the next week. Temperatures cool slightly over the weekend but expect increasing southwest winds each day with elevated fire weather conditions. && .DISCUSSION...A weak ridge will remain across the region on Saturday before a trough starts to drop down from the north which will dominate our weather through at least the middle of next week. The gradient will begin to tighten up on Saturday with increasing southwest winds, mainly across western portions of the forecast area. With the dry conditions in place we will see critical fire weather conditions across western Coconino county and portions of Yavapai county on Saturday. The trough will also bring some slightly cooler temperatures which will bring us back down near normal through the week. Winds will increase on Sunday with more widespread fire weather concerns expected. Winds on Sunday may near Wind Advisory levels so something to keep an eye on for your weekend forecast. Winds remain breezy through at least mid-week across the state. Tuesday looks to be the windiest day of the week so another day to keep an eye on. Conditions will remain near-critical to critical through at least Tuesday, before the trough finally starts to lift to the north and we the gradient weakens across the region. A few outside chances for some showers towards the NM border on Tuesday but confidence is low that we will see much if anything reach the ground due to the very dry conditions in place. && .AVIATION...Friday 05/18Z through Saturday 06/18Z...VFR conditions. Daytime winds SW-NW 5-15kts, light and variable or terrain driven overnight. OUTLOOK...Saturday 06/18Z through Monday 08/18Z...VFR conditions. Daytime winds SW-W 15-25kts, gusts 30-40kts. Nighttime winds S-SW 10-15kts. && .FIRE WEATHER...Saturday and Sunday...Warm and dry conditions persist with increasing winds. Southwest winds 15-25 mph with gusts 30-35 mph Saturday, with gusts increasing to 35-45 mph on Sunday. Minimum RH 5-15%. Near critical to critical fire weather conditions Saturday with a Red Flag Warning issued for the northwest zones. The Red Flag Warning expands to include most of northern and central Arizona on Sunday. Monday through Wednesday...Warm, dry, and windy conditions persist. Critical to near critical fire weather conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday, with lower chances on Wednesday as winds decrease slightly. Winds southwest 15-25 mph with gusts 35-40 mph Monday and Tuesday, with gusts decreasing to 30-35 mph Wednesday. Minimum RH values 5-15%. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning from 10 AM MST /11 AM MDT/ to 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ Saturday for AZZ104-106-107. Red Flag Warning from 10 AM MST /11 AM MDT/ to 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ Sunday for AZZ104>116-139-140. Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Tuesday evening for AZZ104>117-138>140. && $$ PUBLIC...Meola AVIATION...JJ FIRE WEATHER...JJ For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff