068 FXUS64 KHGX 050529 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1229 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered to occasionally numerous showers and storms are expected for the remainder the week. - Warm and humid conditions will prevail in between rounds of precipitation. - Look for increasing winds/seas/rip current risk along the coast starting today through at least the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1225 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Scattered/numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue for the through the weekend. A upper level low near Baja California and western Mexico will eventually cutoff later today which will help with having another focus for storms to initiate on. The best diffluence is a bit just west of the area but could definitely see storms starting in SE Texas from outflow boundaries from the west. Besides that, the typical diurnally driven summertime convective storm pattern continues with showers/storms near and off the coast in the early morning hours, then more inland during the day when peak heating nears and reaches its peak. Rainfall wise, onshore flow continues to pump rich moist air from the gulf so storms will be very efficient rainmakers. Due to the scattered nature of the storms the past few days, total rain from the past few days is quite spotty with most areas have already seen 1-3 inches of rainfall in the past day or so with locally higher totals in a few spots such as in the Galveston area. While most places still have relatively low soil moisture, the hardest hit areas from previous days could see any additional rainfall be mostly runoff. So overall thinking the marginal risk of excessive rainfall by WPC to be warranted for the next few days. The rain and cloud cover should help cap the high temperatures in most places but for anywhere that gets full sun could easily see highs in the low 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to low 100s. Going into next week, a upper level ridge starts to build out in the western continental US which will help reduce but not completely eliminate storm chances. However with less storms and cloud cover will mean more places will heat up, so take precautions while outdoors especially if it will be prolonged. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 649 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 VFR at all site this evening. Still have showers and storms working their way through the area as we continue to have an influx of moisture interact with an unstable environment. Overnight activity will be possible closer to the coast. VFR conditions will prevail through around 03-06Z, after which MVFR CIGs will move in. A brief period of IFR CIGs will be possible at CLL. Expect conditions to bounce between MVFR/VFR through much of the day as more showers and thunderstorms develop during the daytime and continue through the end of the TAF cycle. Bailey && .MARINE... Issued at 1225 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Onshore flow continues for the coastal areas with winds just touching or at small craft exercise caution criteria. That will wane in the early morning hours today but additional rounds of winds of 15 to 20 knots are possible through the weekend. Due to the prolonged SE to E winds, additional water will be piling up at the east/south facing shores. Rip current risk will steadily increase through the weekend and into the early parts of next week. Coastal flooding does not seem to be a concern right now but a few of the lowest lying spots may see water during high tide. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 72 85 72 86 / 30 40 30 60 Houston (IAH) 73 86 75 88 / 60 60 10 50 Galveston (GLS) 80 87 80 88 / 40 30 10 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 1 AM CDT Friday for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375. && $$ DISCUSSION...BL AVIATION...Bailey MARINE...BL