813 FXUS64 KLZK 060508 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1208 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 105 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 -Chances for more widespread showers and thunderstorms forecast for this weekend into early next week -Overall threat for organized severe weather low through the period...but some isolated strong to severe weather may be seen -Oppressive heat may settle across the region next week...with heat headlines becoming possible && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 105 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 Moisture levels have increased areawide early this Fri morning as result of the warm front that lifted north on Thu...and the scattered convection seen. While most precip has ended early this Fri morning...weak SW flow aloft will remain over the state for Fri. Another weak upper wave may pass overhead in this SW flow aloft...and additional isolated to widely scattered convection may again develop during the morning and afternoon hrs. Best POPs will remain across WRN/NWRN sections...but some stray SHRA may still be seen across portions of central AR similar to Thu. Most precip should dissipate shortly after sunset with the loss of daytime heating. Chances for more convection return for Sat...with coverage expected to be more significant. This will be result of an upper low lifting north from TX into OK...and with an upper disturbance passing NE over AR in the SW flow aloft east of the upper low. Similar conditions will be seen again on Sun...with scattered convection expected for a good portion of the CWA. The unsettled pattern will continue into early next week as SW flow aloft continues...and weak upper waves pass overhead. By the middle of next week...expect the chances for precip to decrease as upper flow become less significant over the region. Even so...enough weakness in the upper flow may exist to see some isolated afternoon convection during the middle of next week. The overall threat for seeing any organized SVR Wx and widespread heavy rainfall through the period remains low due to no major systems expected to pass through the region. However...some isolated strong/SVR convection may be seen each day...along with the potential for locally heavy rainfall that may result in isolated flash flooding. With the upper ridge moving overhead...temps will gradually rise into the upper 80s to mid 90s by the middle/latter half of next week. Chances for precip look to remain low...but humidity levels will remain high. This should result in some near critical heat index levels as early as Mon/Tue for portions of the area...and a bit more widespread later next week. If this trend looks to come to fruition...heat headlines may be needed sometime next week as a result of oppressively hot conditions. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026 Expect CIGS to begin to lower across all terminals going into the early morning hours of Saturday across the entire state to as low as IFR flight category. A large complex of rain and isolated storms will enter the state of Arkansas from the west. The western, northern, and central terminals have highest confidence for SHRA and possible VCTS throughout the day on Saturday. For lower confidence locations across the state such as KPBF and KLLQ have been designated with VCSH and VCTS. CIGS will improve to MVFR going into the evening hours on Saturday, but an elevated chance for rain and isolated storms will exist across the state. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 83 70 83 72 / 40 40 90 70 Camden AR 85 71 86 73 / 50 50 90 30 Harrison AR 78 68 80 69 / 60 80 90 70 Hot Springs AR 82 71 83 73 / 60 60 90 60 Little Rock AR 83 71 84 72 / 50 60 80 50 Monticello AR 84 72 86 74 / 50 30 80 20 Mount Ida AR 81 71 82 73 / 70 60 90 60 Mountain Home AR 79 68 80 69 / 50 50 90 70 Newport AR 85 71 85 72 / 30 40 80 60 Pine Bluff AR 84 72 85 74 / 40 40 80 30 Russellville AR 81 71 84 73 / 70 70 100 80 Searcy AR 84 70 85 71 / 40 50 80 70 Stuttgart AR 85 73 85 75 / 40 50 80 40 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...74