563 FXUS66 KMFR 050528 AFDMFR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 1028 PM PDT Thu Jun 4 2026 .DISCUSSION...Updated Aviation and Marine sections... && .AVIATION...05/06 TAFS...Clear skies are present across the area expect southern Coos County near Powers where stratus is developing. Overnight (10-12Z) MVFR conditions due to lower clouds are expected to develop, and areas in Lincoln City are already seeing this. This will occur mainly at the coast, but scattered MVFR ceilings are possible into the Umpqua Basin near Roseburg early in the morning. These clouds will decrease through the morning. Winds will be diurnally driven with speeds strengthening into the afternoon. && .MARINE...Updated 745 PM PDT Thursday, June 4, 2026...Gusty winds and steep wind-driven seas are present in all but the most sheltered waters south of Cape Blanco. Conditions will improve briefly Friday, then north winds and steep seas return Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning. South winds will accompany a front on Monday, but otherwise conditions should be relatively calm early next week. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1227 PM PDT Thu Jun 4 2026/ DISCUSSION...After a substantial marine push this morning that filled nearly all of the West Side valleys with low clouds and fog, the skies have mostly cleared with plenty of sunshine now over southern Oregon and far northern California. Today and tomorrow (Friday), with upper level flow in a near zonal to very low amplitude ridging pattern, daytime highs will be very near to just slightly above normal for early June, with the typical breezes in the afternoon. Cloud cover increases tomorrow afternoon as the next upper level trough, currently sitting just offshore of British Columbia, approaches the region. The trough will dig farther into the Pacific Northwest Saturday, and while the center of low itself passes over Washington, the trough axis will swing over our area late Friday into Saturday, bringing another round of afternoon gusty winds both days (remaining well below any thresholds), and a slight chance for light showers over northern Coos and Douglas counties, and maybe some drizzle along the rest of the coast, on Saturday. Areas in Modoc, Lake, and Klamath counties will be under frost/freeze concerns again Saturday night, with overnight lows potentially dropping below freezing in northern Klamath and Lake counties. Overall, temperatures Saturday will be 5 to 10 degrees below normal. Once the trough departs to the east, seasonal warmth returns under shortwave ridging Sunday, then another trough arrives late Monday into Tuesday. The nature of this trough varies greatly across the model suites in both timing and track, with some passing the center of a closed low over Washington then into the northern Rockies, and others digging farther south to bring the low over Central California and the Great Basin. Both will result in somewhat cool temperatures, but will vary greatly in precipitation chances and nature: the northerly track trending more towards light shower chances, while a southerly track leads to much higher shower chances along with potential thunderstorms. && .MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...CA...None. PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM PDT Friday for PZZ356-376. && $$