181 

FXUS64 KMRX 051701

AFDMRX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Morristown TN

101 PM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 230 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026



- The dry weather pattern will persist through Saturday with low 

rain chances returning Sunday afternoon. Temperatures and dew points 

will be increasing this weekend.



- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected

  every day next week mainly in the afternoon/evening hours.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 230 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026



In the upper levels, a ridge is centered over the Southeast U.S. At 

the surface, high pressure is centered over the Southeast and Mid-

Atlantic. Dry weather will continue through at least Saturday. 

Temperatures and dew points will be on the rise Saturday and Sunday 

as southwesterly flow continues. By Sunday, a system moving through 

the Northeast brings a cold front into the Ohio Valley but it fails 

to make it this far south. An upper level low gets somewhat stuck 

near KS/MO as a blocking ridge extends from the Southeast U.S. to 

Ontario, Canada. The remnants of this upper low will make it into 

the Ohio Valley Tues/Wed. 



Rain chances start to increase Sunday afternoon mainly in the 

Cumberland Plateau and Southwest Virginia. Then isolated to 

scattered showers and storms are likely every day next week. This 

activity will be hit and miss and mainly during the peak heating 

hours of the afternoon and evening. It looks like Tuesday and 

Wednesday may have the best coverage.



&&



.AVIATION...

(18Z TAFS)

Issued at 1220 PM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026



VFR conditions expected for the period all sites. Winds will

generally be out of the south and southwest and less than 10kts

during the day, with light to calm winds overnight. 



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Chattanooga Airport, TN             85  63  87  68 /   0   0   0   0 

Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  85  62  87  66 /   0   0   0   0 

Oak Ridge, TN                       83  61  86  65 /   0   0   0   0 

Tri Cities Airport, TN              86  60  86  63 /   0   0   0   0 



&&



.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NC...NONE.

TN...NONE.

VA...NONE.

&&



$$



DISCUSSION...McD

AVIATION...99