491 FXUS65 KPUB 050457 AFDPUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1057 PM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Daily showers and thunderstorms are expected into early next week, though coverage will be spotty and many areas will remain dry. - Temperatures will continue to warm, remaining above average over most of southeast Colorado. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 1239 PM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Today will be the start of a general warming and drying trend heading into next week. Looking aloft, a quick-moving shortwave continues pushing east of our area, with weak west flow settling in across the region. High temps this afternoon will climb into the mid- 90s over the far eastern plains, while the rest of the lower areas remain in the 80s. Looking at shower/storm potential through the rest of the day, Tonight will be mild, with steadily decreasing cloud cover and lows in the 40s-50s. Friday will be very similar, with highs just a few degrees warmer over most of the area and a bit more dry air in place. Afternoon showers will be more isolated in cover, only really forming over the mountains. Not much is expected in terms of instability either, so mostly just looking, once again, at gusty outflow winds and some lightning. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 1239 PM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Upper ridge builds in over the region this weekend as a broad trough digs in over the western states. Cloud cover will continue to decrease, allowing for high temperatures to climb and remain well above average. Expect highs in the mid-upper 90s over most of the plains, with some sites further east possible hitting 100F on Sunday. The valleys and the higher terrain will remain mostly in the 80s. A weak disturbance to the flow will help spark up some scattered mountain showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon, though POPs decrease through the weekend and into early next week as we continue to dry out. Isolated to occasionally scattered showers and storms will continue each day over and near the higher terrain. Critical fire weather conditions will become increasingly more likely starting on Sunday, with RH dipping close to single digits. Winds appear marginal at this time, and though there's still plenty of time for better model agreement it's something worth keeping an eye on as we move into the weekend. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1056 PM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026 KCOS, KPUB, and KALS: VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Winds will remain light and at times variable overnight. Then by early to late afternoon Friday, winds will slightly increase to around 10 to 12 knots, as diurnal mixing develops. Otherwise, dry conditions with pockets of mid to high level clouds is anticipated. While dry conditions are expected, high based rain showers are also expected to blossom during the afternoon hours, with very little, if any, precipitation reaching the ground from these. However, gusty outflow winds are likely under these high based showers. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO AVIATION...SIMCOE