018 FXUS62 KRAH 052212 AFDRAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 612 PM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Monday high temperatures trends a tad lower. && .KEY MESSAGES... As of 145 PM Friday... 1) Hot through early next week. Another heat wave possible mid to late next week with increasing humidity. 2) Daily shower and storm chances Sunday into next week, but rainfall amounts will be quite limited. && .DISCUSSION... As of 145 PM Friday... KEY MESSAGE 1... Hot through early next week. Another heat wave possible mid to late next week with increasing humidity The pattern this weekend into early next week will feature anomalous ridging with low-level thicknesses approaching 1420-1430 m, well above average for early June. Highs into Sunday will top out in the low to middle 90s in most places, with some upper 90s across the eastern Piedmont and Coastal Plain of central NC. A backdoor front slides down Sunday night into Monday. This will bring a brief reprieve from the highest heat readings Monday and Tuesday with low/mid 90s Mon and upper 80s to near 90 on Tue as somewhat cooler high pressure settles down from Delmarva. However, as the high shifts off in the mid to late next week period, we should see hot conditions return as ridging reestablishes itself. At this same time, it does appear humidity levels may additionally increase, perhaps well into the 60s. If that were to occur, we will see the combination of not only heat but humidity. Highs Wed onward are favored to again be in the mid to upper 90s with thicknesses approaching 1430-1440 m. KEY MESSAGE 2... Daily shower and storm chances Sunday into next week, but rainfall amounts will be quite limited The overall pattern this weekend through next week is overall not conducive to meaningful chances of measurable precipitation. However, it does appear that the pattern will not be completely dry. A backdoor cold front approaches Sunday evening. With that, there is a low-end threat of some late-day or evening storms across our northern tier of counties. However, instability appears limited in that most of us will stay dry. As the front slides south of the area Mon near the SC border, storm chances will focus mainly in our southern Piedmont and Sandhills, but again coverage looks limited. As the ridge builds back in for the mid to late week period, rain chances may be hard to come by, outside of any main forcing mechanism. The GFS/GEFS appear wetter, in part due to more mid-level shortwave energy tracking across the area. Outside of that, our storm chances may come in relation to a persistent lee trough and focused along subtle boundaries. The expected rainfall through the next seven days is rather limited, with WPC indicating a tenth to a quarter of an inch of rain at most. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 612 PM Friday... High pressure will remain in control of the weather through the end of the TAF period. The only sensible weather of note will be varying amounts of high cloud cover (at or above 25kft) with generally light winds expected. Outlook: A backdoor cold front will settle into cntl NC with both a chance of showers/storms and a band of post-frontal, MVFR ceilings late Sun night through Mon. && .CLIMATE... Record High Temperatures: June 7: KGSO: 98/1925 KRDU: 100/2008 KFAY: 99/2008 June 8: KRDU: 101/2008 KFAY: 101/2008 Record High Minimum Temperatures: June 7: KGSO: 73/2008 KRDU: 74/2008 KFAY: 75/2008 June 8: KGSO: 73/2008 KRDU: 75/1899 KFAY: 74/2008 && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AK AVIATION...Leins/CA CLIMATE..RAH