085 FXUS65 KRIW 050852 AFDRIW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Riverton WY 252 AM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Very warm Friday and Saturday as ridging builds across the Rockies. Highs today reach the 80s, with a few low 90s in the Bighorn Basin. Temperatures will be even warmer Saturday, with highs in 80s and 90s, with a few 100 degree readings possible. - Dry and windy conditions today and tomorrow will lead to elevated to near-critical fire weather concerns across the state. - Ridge shifts east next week, bringing better moisture into western mountains. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected over higher terrain. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 224 AM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026 The trough that has been lingering in the vicinity that past couple days is finally moving to the east, which will open the door for the next system to impact the NW Rockies. This system is just starting to drop down the West Coast, and will gradually buckle a ridge ahead of it across the Rockies during the next 48 hours. Today will start with flat ridging, with nearly clear skies and temperatures in the 70s and 80s. West winds will be lighter than yesterday, but a few gusts near 20 mph are possible across the usual areas of central WY. The ridge then starts to build in the vicinity tonight into Saturday, with increasing temperatures aloft. Still noting H7 temps of 16 to 19C, which translates to mid to upper 80s west of the Divide and into the 90s to the east. There remains an outside chance of triple digit readings, mainly on the open ranges of Johnson County and the lowest elevations of the Bighorn Basin. The placement of the ridge is centered on the Central Plains, so a weak impulse may nudge into the NW WY Parks during the afternoon, bringing some cloud cover and a shower or two, and will hold temps there down in the 70s. Saturday will also see increasing southwest winds ahead of the next system. Widespread gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected across the state. This southwest flow will also be modified desert air, so humidity levels will be falling to 5 to 10 percent across a wide swath of the state. These will result in a near-critical fire weather day across the state. The ridge shifts to the east Saturday night, shifting the moisture tap from the southwest across a larger part of western WY. The first piece of the western trough races across the state, bringing a good chance for showers and thunderstorms. The southwest flow will continue into the middle of next week, which is setting up as a pattern where daytime heating sparks showers and thunderstorms along the highest terrain in the afternoon, dissipating each evening. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1031 PM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Mostly SKC skies currently in place this evening. The lower clouds that were expected at KCPR dispersed earlier as the cold front reach the Divide around 03Z. The cold front will reach KRIW shortly after the start of the forecast, washing out after sunrise. Conditions will remain dry through the TAF period. Most terminals will have wind gusts around 20kt by 17Z, becoming light (10kt or less) again by 02Z. Please see the Aviation Weather Center and/or CWSU ZDV and ZLC for the latest information on icing and turbulence forecasts. && .RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Straub AVIATION...LaVoie