015 FXUS61 KRNK 060624 AFDRNK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 224 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Forecast updated per recent guidance. Air Quality Alert for Stokes, Rockingham and Caswell Counties in North Carolina until midnight EDT Saturday night. && .KEY MESSAGES... KEY MESSAGE 1: Isolated severe storms possible Sunday in parts of the far east otherwise daytime showers and storms for much of next week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Isolated severe storms possible Sunday in parts of the far east otherwise daytime showers and storms for much of next week. Expect a dry and warm start to the weekend, then guidance is in some consensus with a weak front sagging southward into the far north and east part of the CWA for Sunday. Given the progged instability axis and rather marginal deep layer shear of 20-25 kts, a few isolated strong to severe storms could occur in the far east with strong to damaging winds as the main threat. Otherwise more ample deep layer moisture and a weak upper disturbance slowly builds into the area for next week allowing for diurnally induced convection, though a ridge of high pressure to the east may limit development on Monday to just parts of the west. After midweek, while in the wake of the upper disturbance the lingering airmass remains rather moist and conditionally unstable so continue pops of daily showers and storms. Temps look to become higher in this time period as well with parts of the Piedmont possibly reaching highs in the mid to upper 90s. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... VFR conditions look to prevail across all terminals through the TAF period. The one exception may be some brief sub-VFR VSBYs with the river valleys of KLWB early Saturday morning. With more clear skies than initially forecast, the likelihood of these sub-VFR VSBYs developing has increased at KLWB. Some upper level cirrus looks to push into the region early Saturday, but these clouds don't look to move into the area in time to prevent some river valley fog from developing. Winds will generally remain out of the west/southwest at around 10 knots or less through the TAF period. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... VFR conditions will persist through much of the extended TAF period, outside any shower/storms that occur. Higher probability for sub-VFR look to develop Sunday night into Monday as high pressure wedges in with easterly flow bringing lower cig potential for most sites. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ004>006. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AB AVIATION...EB