323 FXUS64 KSHV 050020 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 720 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1218 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 - Brief break in showers on Friday before widespread rain chances return this weekend. - Showers expected to stay nonsevere, but some thunder and localized flooding will be possible. - Temperatures will climb back into the mid to upper 80s by this weekend and into the lower 90s next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1218 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 An area of low pressure in northern Mexico combined with high pressure to the east will keep the Ark-La-Tx in southwesterly flow for the next several days. The shortwave trough that brings wider rain chances today will move on overnight tonight, leaving most of the region dry for Friday. There may be some diurnal convection during the afternoon but should stay limited to our far western and southern zones. Afternoon highs will be back in the mid to upper 80s. Rain chances become more widespread this weekend once the low pressure system in Mexico moves through OK and MO towards the Great Lakes. The thought is that this low will provide enough forcing to take advantage of the instability and moisture present to organize convection. The forcing doesn't look impressive enough to bring a risk of severe weather, but some thunderstorms and localized flooding can't be ruled out. Temperatures will hold steady in the mid to upper 80s with sustained southerly flow until they breach 90 on Monday. A upper-level ridge is expected to build in from the southwest after the low pressure departs on Monday. Temperatures will keep climbing with subsidence and southerly flow, reaching the low to mid 90s for much of the week. Other than some pop-up showers and thunderstorms during the afternoons, things should stay dry for much of the long-term period. 57 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 643 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 For the ArkLaTex terminals, lots of convection/category changes today and much the same for Friday. Expect IFR cigs 06-12Z and this tropical conveyor off the Gulf to remain again for Friday. VCSH/VCTS for most, to be amended for tempo downpours/wind to 30KT. Cigs lift to VFR by 17-19Z. The wknd looks perhaps even busier with another uptick in convection anticipated as this tropical moisture is met with a Westerlies upper low. Early next week bcmg isold TS as the heat builds under a weak upper high. /24/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1218 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 70 87 73 87 / 20 10 10 50 MLU 68 89 73 87 / 0 10 10 70 DEQ 68 84 70 84 / 40 30 20 70 TXK 70 88 72 88 / 20 10 10 60 ELD 68 87 71 86 / 10 0 10 50 TYR 70 86 72 87 / 40 20 20 70 GGG 70 86 72 87 / 30 20 10 60 LFK 70 87 72 88 / 40 30 30 60 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...57 AVIATION...24