566 FXUS64 KSHV 050557 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1257 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 - Scattered daytime thunderstorms with lingering evening showers to continue on Friday with widespread rain chances expected this weekend. - Showers expected to stay non-severe, but some thunder and localized flooding will be possible. - Temperatures will climb back into the mid to upper 80s by this weekend and into the lower 90s next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Upper-level pattern characterized by a ridge across the Deep South and a low across west Texas with the ArkLaTex sandwiched between these two features. Eastern half of the ArkLaTex will be influenced more heavily by the ridge allowing for slightly drier conditions on Friday while increased southwest flow across East and northeast Texas will result in higher rain chances across these areas. On Saturday, disturbance in the Gulf of America to swing northwest along the western periphery of the upper-ridge, directly across the ArkLaTex, resulting in widespread rain across the region. Upper-level pattern to remain nearly unchanged through Sunday, with the exception of an upper-low swinging northeast across the Central Plains, which will maintain higher rain chances through the end of the weekend. Big shift in the pattern expected early next week as a surface and upper-ridge build areawide. Subsidence associated with the upper-ridge will not only lead to mostly dry conditions, but will also bring a warming trend to the region. Afternoon highs in the 80s during the weekend will approach the mid 90s by midweek. /05/ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 For the 05/06z TAFs, flight conditions will vary across the area through 05/15z. With the exception of KMLU and KELD, ceilings should lower into the IFR range at most TAF sites. In addition, patchy fog is already developing, especially where precip occurred over the last 24 hours, and patchy fog may bring MVFR conditions to KELD. Ceilings/visibilities should gradually improve after daybreak with most locations slowly improving back into MVFR and eventually VFR by 05/19z. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop, mainly across East Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and possibly portions of Southwest Arkansas during the daytime hours. Uncertainty remains regarding which TAF sites will be affected and the exact timing. However, the best rain chances appear to be at KTYR, KGGG, and KLFK in the 05/18z to 06/01z time frame. /Nuttall/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 73 87 73 88 / 10 40 20 60 MLU 73 88 74 89 / 10 70 30 70 DEQ 70 84 70 85 / 20 70 70 90 TXK 73 88 73 89 / 10 60 60 80 ELD 72 86 72 86 / 10 40 30 70 TYR 73 87 73 88 / 20 60 40 60 GGG 72 87 73 88 / 20 60 30 60 LFK 72 88 73 89 / 20 60 20 40 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...05 AVIATION...09