032 FXUS64 KSJT 051834 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 134 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Medium to high chances (40-70%) for showers and thunderstorms through Saturday night, with localized flash flooding possible. - A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday, with large hail and damaging winds the main hazards. - Hot and dry conditions return for much of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Saturday) Issued at 133 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 An upper level low is currently centered across northern Mexico and Far West Texas. This feature is then forecast to track northeast reaching the South Plains and southern Texas Panhandle Saturday afternoon and then into Oklahoma Saturday evening. This feature will result in a continuation of rain chances through the next 24 hours. Upper level disturbances ahead of this feature will track across the forecast area, which will aid in the development of showers and thunderstorms. Timing these feature is challenging, but the consensus is that one such feature will track across the area late this evening and into the early morning hours Saturday. This will result in the development of showers and thunderstorms this evening to our west and southwest, with this activity tracking east or east northeast across the area. Ahead of this feature, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon. The main concern will the activity this afternoon and overnight is locally heavy rainfall which may result in flooding of low-lying areas and roadways. THere is some uncertainty on exactly how much coverage we will see overnight, so will continue to monitor trends this evening. Highs this afternoon will be below seasonal normals, in the low to mid 80s for most locations, with parts of the Big Country reaching the upper 80s. On Saturday, the aforementioned upper level low will track across the South Plains and southern portions of the Panhandle. This will result in additional rain chances, especially Saturday afternoon and evening. Expect medium (40-70%) rain chances. In addition to locally heavy rainfall, a few strong to severe storms are possible, with large hail and damaging winds being the main concerns. Highs on Saturday will continue to be below normal. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s for most locations. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through next Friday) Issued at 133 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 Rain chances will continue into Saturday night, but quickly end from west to east on Sunday morning as the upper level low tracks east of the region. Highs on Sunday will be near seasonal normals, in the upper 80s to lower 90s. On Sunday, an upper level ridge will be centered across the northern Gulf and will steadily build west toward Texas. This feature will become centered across Texas by mid-week, resulting in hot and dry conditiions. Highs through much of next week will be in the 90s to near 100, with overnight lows in the 70s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 More widespread thunderstorms are forecast across the region this evening and overnight tonight. Small hail and some minor gusty winds cannot be ruled out with this activity. Otherwise, ample moisture across the region will allow for low cloud development by Saturday morning, especially across the I-10 corridor. Reduced visibility and MVFR level ceilings are also likely. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 68 86 69 92 / 60 60 50 10 San Angelo 65 84 68 91 / 70 50 40 0 Junction 66 87 69 91 / 50 30 40 0 Brownwood 67 85 68 90 / 70 60 60 20 Sweetwater 66 85 68 94 / 70 50 30 0 Ozona 65 85 69 90 / 80 40 20 0 Brady 66 84 68 89 / 70 40 50 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Daniels LONG TERM....Daniels AVIATION...41