835 FXUS62 KTAE 050505 AFDTAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 105 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 104 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026 - Generally dry and pleasant conditions are expected for the next few days. - A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for all nearshore and offshore waters. There is also High risk of rip currents. - Thunderstorm chances return this weekend, mainly along/west of the Apalachicola River and increase in coverage early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This Evening through Friday) Issued at 328 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Deep-layer high pressure will maintain unseasonably dry weather across the region with low humidity and comfortable overnight temperatures. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 328 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026 For the weekend, the surface high will drift east allowing for a slow moisture return and low rain chances across our western most counties. The upper ridge will retrograde to the Great Plains by the Tuesday and beyond allowing for some upper level disturbances to drift south of the region. Light flow will also allow the sea breeze to become the primary trigger for thunderstorms which will become more numerous later in the week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 104 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026 VFR conditions prevail through the period with a light to moderate easterly to southeasterly breeze. A bit of a seabreeze at ECP turns winds more southerly for a few hours late this afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 328 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Advisory level easterlies will prevail through the night or early tomorrow morning. Prevailing surface high pressure to the north will foster moderate southeast breezes this weekend with weakening nocturnal surges. Daily afternoon seabreezes will dominate once again early next week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 328 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Warm and dry weather continues the next couple days with prevailing easterly winds. The main fire concerns are high afternoon dispersions this afternoon and tomorrow. Low-end rain chances return to portions of the FL Panhandle & SE AL this weekend. Coverage of showers and storms will return to more typical summertime levels for the Tuesday to Thursday period. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 328 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Mostly dry weather prevails through the weekend. Some modest rain chances return early next week, but forecast amounts are currently light. Recent rainfall has increased soil moisture, but long term drought conditions remain. As of June 4th however, all areas except the southern and eastern Florida Big Bend have shown improvement There are no riverine flooding concerns. For more local drought information & statements, visit the following websites: weather.gov/tae/LocalDrought weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 67 91 69 92 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 70 88 71 88 / 0 10 0 10 Dothan 64 88 68 88 / 0 10 10 10 Albany 65 89 68 89 / 0 0 0 10 Valdosta 64 90 68 92 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 66 94 69 95 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 74 85 73 86 / 0 0 0 10 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM EDT /3 AM CDT/ early this morning for FLZ108-112-115. GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for GMZ730-755- 765-775. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ751- 752-770-772. && $$ SHORT TERM...Wool LONG TERM....Wool AVIATION...Reese MARINE...Wool FIRE WEATHER...Wool HYDROLOGY...Wool