140 

AWUS01 KWNH 052359

FFGMPD

TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-060557-



Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0329

NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD

758 PM EDT Fri Jun 05 2026



Areas affected...portions of western through central Texas and the

southeastern Texas Panhandle, far southwest Oklahoma, and

southeastern New Mexico



Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely



Valid 052357Z - 060557Z



Summary...Scattered, slow-moving thunderstorms persist, resulting

in a continued flash flood risk across the discussion area through

much of the early evening.



Discussion...Deep convection continues beneath a mid/upper low

centered over the Transpecos region of far west Texas.  Abundant

heating/instability beneath this mid/upper low and abundant

moisture (1.2-1.75 inch PW values - highest with eastward extent)

was continuing to support locally heavy rainfall, with rates

exceeding 2-3 inches/hr in spots - especially across the

southeastern Texas Panhandle, just north of Lubbock, near

Sweetwater, and near Iraan.  Flash flood potential remains likely

with this activity for at least another 2-4 hours (through sunset).



Models/observations depict that convection will remain

slow-moving, with slow propagation expected near any linear

segments or clusters that begin to propagate.  Storms may

eventually undergo a weakening trend with time after sunset, but

it is likely that this process will take several hours to play out

with lingering instability and the tendency for small upscale

growth with some of the activity.  There is some risk that

additional convection forms over the Hill Country between Junction

and US 281 given satellite presentation of local towering cumulus

in that area, though forcing overall is weak and this risk is

somewhat conditional.  Moisture/buoyancy profiles support heavy

rainfall/flash flood risk with any convection that develops in

that region through the early evening.



Cook



...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...EPZ...EWX...FWD...LUB...MAF...OUN...

SJT...



ATTN...RFC...FWR...TUA...NWC...



LAT...LON   35280126 35160010 34579916 32699862 30559871 

            28949910 28690007 29570148 29760248 29050317 

            29230398 29810474 31940610 33680594 34310433 

            34600252